第245章2/7的概率(1 / 2)

悬局诡探 孤海望云 0 字 2021-03-29

姚梦晨还留在洗手间,女人临走时留下的那句话,激发了她所有负面情绪:愤怒、羞愧、着急、嫉妒、紧张、焦虑....

嘎吱一声,洗手间内有个单间的门开了,从里面从走出一个身穿红衣的女人。

红衣女人应该是一早就在洗手间内了,只是不知道待了多久。

姚梦晨看了看红衣女人,自己并不认识,但也不奇怪:这赌场有男赌客,自然也有女赌客,那么多人,自己不能全部认识。她唯一担心的是,刚才的对话是否被听到?

结果红衣女人洗了洗手,看都不看姚梦晨,像没事人一样走开了....

.......

庐江市,江汉大厦,3楼;

江仲平等了许久,终于见到姚梦晨回来了。

“姚同志,还要继续吗?”

“当然,只要客人还愿意,我们自然要继续!”

江仲平深吸一口气:“那好!继续!下该我了!”

掷骰第26回合开始:

江仲平随便摇晃几下骰盅:“好了!”

姚梦晨想都不想,用双手捧起一把筹码:“小!我押小!”

她现在的行为已经有点狂躁了,这次下注没有经过任何思考就是最好的证明!看来在洗手间的冲洗,对她而言似乎没什么作用!

江仲平把那堆筹码一数,正好30个。他没有立刻掀开骰盅,而是说到:“其实从开始一开始!你猜到我骰子是大中小的概率,不是1/3,而是1/2!”

姚梦晨一愣:“你在说什么?”

“如果我骰的点数是大,你是有较大的把握能听出来的!第6、8、12、16、24这五局,我骰的点数全部是大,你每次都欧押注10个筹码,全部押中就是最好的证明!”

姚梦晨哼了一声:“这个数量很微妙!万一押错,我赔得起!反之,也能赚不少!”

“当然!”江仲平说到:“你参赌这么多年,对下注的数字自然很有心得!但如果我骰的点数是中或者小,你听不出来的。就在2个点数中随便选1个!第2、4、10、14、18、20、22这七局中,你从来没猜过大,这就是正好的证明!所以我说,你真正猜中的概率只有1/2!”

“看来你的数学并不好,应该找个老师好好教教你!”姚梦晨说到:“你既然都知道我能猜大,那我真正猜中你点数的概率不是1/3,也不是1/2!而是2/3!”

江仲平点点头:“没错!我的数学不好,可姚同志你的运气也不怎么好!”

“什么意思?!”

“你明明知道那七局的点数没有大,只有中和小!所以,就这七局而言,你猜赢的概率理论上讲就是1/2!根据这个算法,那七局里面,你应该赢3局或者4局才对!可实际操作和理论差距挺大!这七局中,你只有第14、20这两局是猜对的,其余5局全部猜错了!也就意外着......”

姚梦晨不用听江仲平说话,也知道这意味着什么!这意味着二选一的事件发生了7次,而自己就选对其中2次!那么自己单凭运气而言,猜对的概率是.....

“2/7!”江仲平说到:“如果只猜中和小,姚同志你猜对的概率只有2/7!这个概率实在不高!”

江仲平能分析到这种地步,是姚梦晨没想到的!她的脑子已经开始有些乱了:“2/7是吧?那又怎么样呢?”

“没什么,只是这局你也是在中和小之间猜1个!根据之前的数据,这局我的赢面是5/7、而你是2/7!正巧,你刚才又下注了30个筹码.....”

姚梦晨的脑袋,凉水都无法冲醒,却被江仲平这一句话给冲醒了:“这.....”

“祝我们好运吧!”江仲平说完这句模棱两可的话之后,一把掀开骰盅:5点、2点、3点!

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